With just four months left until the 2024 presidential election, most national polls show Donald Trump slightly ahead of President Joe Biden.
Since Biden’s disastrous performance in the June 27 presidential debate, Trump has been pulling ahead slightly in national polls, according to FiveThirtyEight’s aggregator.
The pair have generally been polling neck-and-neck, with typically around a percentage point’s difference between them, or less. As of July 1, Trump’s average lead is 1.4 percentage points, per the aggregator.
Only one poll since the debate has shown Biden ahead of Trump. But another poll by the same pollster a few days later with a larger sample size showed Trump in the lead.
The Morning Consult poll surveyed 10,679 registered voters between June 28 and 30, and found Trump polling ahead of Biden, 44 percent to 43 percent.
Trump’s improvement was marginal, compared with the lead-up to the debate, when they were tied. This suggests that “Biden’s alarming debate performance might not have surprised voters as much as it surprised Democrats in Washington,” Morning Consult said.
A poll conducted by Patriot Polling between June 27 and 29, surveying 1,029 registered voters, showed that Trump was leading Biden 44.3 percent to 40.5 percent.
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